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However, if they win the division, that would mean hosting one of these many mediocre teams fighting for a playoff spot (or facing the Cardinals in a rematch).Īs a reminder, how the Rams do in the playoffs directly affects Detroit’s pick. That’s a tough draw considering how top-heavy the NFC is. If the Rams stay a Wild Card team, it means traveling to either Green Bay, Tampa Bay, Arizona, or Dallas for the first round of the playoffs. At this point, Los Angeles’ playoff odds are 97 percent, per FiveThirtyEight.īut the difference between winning the division or being a Wild Card team is striking. There’s a huge Wild Card battle rumbling in the NFC, but if you were hoping the Rams would fall out of the race, Monday’s win pretty much put an end to that. Now let’s look at the current overall NFC standings to see where the Rams currently stand. For what it’s worth, FiveThirtyEight still has the Cardinals with an 89 percent chance to win the division. Those schedules are about even in difficulty, so it should be a photo finish with both of these teams, assuming one doesn’t fall apart down the stretch. Here’s a look at the current NFC West standings:Īnd here’s a look at the remaining schedules for the Cardinals and Rams: Here’s a look at the remaining schedules of the Jaguars and Texans, just to see the likelihood that either of these teams pick up another win or two:Īs noted above, the Rams’ big win hurts the Lions’ potential draft pick, because now the Cardinals’ lead in the NFC West is just a single game, whereas if Arizona had won, they would’ve come within a single game of clinching the division and forced the Rams to go on the road for their first playoff game. Detroit’s lead would increase to one game over both teams, but given Detroit’s much more difficult schedule, if all of those teams were to finish with 2.5 wins (two wins and a tie), then the Lions would fall to third in draft order due to tiebreakers. I suppose it’s worth pointing out here that a tie between the Jaguars and Texans would be the worst possible outcome. Detroit’s remaining schedule is Cardinals, Falcons, Seahawks, and Packers, so that seems unlikely. If that’s the case, the only way the Lions are dropping out of the top two-Kayvon Thibodeaux and Aidan Hutchinson territory-is if the Lions go 2-2 in their final four games.
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The Jaguars and Texans play each other this week, which means one of those teams will push to three wins on the season. The Lions continue to hold just a half-game lead at the top over the Jaguars and Texans. Strength of schedule numbers are taken from /nfl. The easier the schedule, the higher the draft pick.
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Note: Strength of schedule is listed here, as it is the No. Here’s a look at the current draft order:
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Let’s break it all down with the updated draft order and a closer look at the NFC Playoff standings. And when it comes to their second first-round pick in the draft, the Los Angeles Rams’ huge win over the Arizona Cardinals on Monday night has the potential of being the most damaging result of Week 14. Most notable, the three teams closest to taking away the Lions’ current place atop the 2022 NFL Draft order-the Texans, Jaguars, and Jets-all lost this week. Unfortunately for Detroit, only two of those games went in the Lions’ favor, and both were mainly inconsequential given the other results of the week. In our Week 14 version of our Rooting Guide, we highlighted seven different games that had an impact on where the Lions may pick. Every week beyond the bye, we’ve been presenting a rooting guide to help you navigate Sunday’s game for the best possible outcomes for the Detroit Lions and their placement in the upcoming draft.